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toad455
Joined: 16 Nov 2005 Posts: 22477 Location: NJ
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Posted: 03/20/08 10:18 am ::: Biggest possible 1st round upset |
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Anyone else think that if #13 Montana gets their offense going that they could possibly upset #4 Vanderbilt??? I'm looking at this match-up as possibly the biggest 1st round upset.
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bullsky
Joined: 04 Jun 2005 Posts: 20310
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Posted: 03/20/08 10:25 am ::: |
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I actually have that as one of my upsets.
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fancy_daniel
Joined: 12 Oct 2005 Posts: 4489 Location: Los Angeles
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Posted: 03/20/08 12:13 pm ::: |
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I'm also thinking Chattanooga has a chance against K-State.
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An_nic
Joined: 16 Dec 2004 Posts: 375 Location: Smack dab in the middle of Washington State
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accommodatingly
Joined: 21 Nov 2004 Posts: 2191 Location: Saint Paul, MN
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Posted: 03/20/08 2:39 pm ::: |
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Chattanooga over K-State, absolutely, since K-State's best player is gone.
I haven't seen Montana: their schedule didn't inspire me when I looked at it a while back. Can they really beat a pretty good SEC team?
Temple, New Mexico, Hartford, and especially Wyoming struck me as better bets to advance.
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bullsky
Joined: 04 Jun 2005 Posts: 20310
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Posted: 03/20/08 4:21 pm ::: |
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Keep in an eye on Illinois State. They are playing close to home and are a dangerous team.
_________________ "Don't do something until you get it right, do it until you can't do it wrong."
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pilight
Joined: 23 Sep 2004 Posts: 66946 Location: Where the action is
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Posted: 03/20/08 4:58 pm ::: |
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Orange][Krush wrote: |
Keep in an eye on Illinois State. They are playing close to home and are a dangerous team. |
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That's my big first round upset
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mikeyc22
Joined: 20 Apr 2006 Posts: 2396
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Posted: 03/20/08 6:24 pm ::: |
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I am thinking all three, Montana, Illinois St, and Chatt are gonna win.
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BobScoutingReport
Joined: 05 Apr 2007 Posts: 684
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Posted: 03/20/08 8:00 pm ::: Upsets |
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mikeyc22 wrote: |
I am thinking all three, Montana, Illinois St, and Chatt are gonna win. |
That would be really amazing! One, maybe two but all three?
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pilight
Joined: 23 Sep 2004 Posts: 66946 Location: Where the action is
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Posted: 03/20/08 8:24 pm ::: Re: Upsets |
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BobScoutingReport wrote: |
mikeyc22 wrote: |
I am thinking all three, Montana, Illinois St, and Chatt are gonna win. |
That would be really amazing! One, maybe two but all three? |
Not as amazing as you might think. Over the last ten tournaments, 27 teams seeded #11 or lower have won first round games, an average of 2.7 per year. At least one #11 or lower has won a first round game every year since the field expanded to 64 teams and every year except 1990 with the field at 48 teams. The record is five, set in 1998 when Youngstown State, Colorado State, UCSB, Virginia Tech, and Harvard all did the deed.
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Mphswnbafan
Joined: 17 Nov 2005 Posts: 96 Location: Memphis, TN
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Posted: 03/20/08 11:08 pm ::: |
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I've seen Vandy and if they are clicking they will survive through Maryland, and will give MD a run for their money.
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tennis2
Joined: 10 May 2006 Posts: 2378
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sbjules
Joined: 22 Dec 2004 Posts: 3476
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pilight
Joined: 23 Sep 2004 Posts: 66946 Location: Where the action is
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FS02
Joined: 19 Jul 2006 Posts: 9699 Location: Husky (west coast) Country
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BobScoutingReport
Joined: 05 Apr 2007 Posts: 684
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Posted: 03/21/08 10:54 pm ::: Upsets |
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Does IL State have someone to go against the Paris twins? I will be shocked if ILL State wins in spite of OK woes at B12.
I know Vandy & they have improved over the season. They aren't as good offensively as most recent years but better defensively. They are young though. I hear Montana has a good lead guard.
I went with Chat vs KState on the pick sheet but without enthusiasm. I saw Chat once early against TN when they lost but were not crushed. I know KState well and guess they will try to go inside more without Dietz.
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bullsky
Joined: 04 Jun 2005 Posts: 20310
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Posted: 03/21/08 11:03 pm ::: Re: Upsets |
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BobScoutingReport wrote: |
Does IL State have someone to go against the Paris twins? I will be shocked if ILL State wins in spite of OK woes at B12. |
They have a couple.
With Oklahoma, you can somewhat afford to let the Paris twins get theirs(I can't remember the last time both twins put up 30 each). It's the rest of the team that is a big question mark. Illinois State has some GOOD shooters, big shooters at that. Keep in mind, the Sooners almost lost to Iowa State. As Sherri Coale said, the team most similar to Illinois State is Iowa State. The biggest, and really only difference, is that Illinois State has more athletic guards and a deeper bench. Both of those factors only help Illinois State against the Sooners.
Plus, it doesn't help that Illinois State best player and best scorer, Kristi Cirone, will be guarded by Jenna Plumley.
_________________ "Don't do something until you get it right, do it until you can't do it wrong."
- Geno Auriemma
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pilight
Joined: 23 Sep 2004 Posts: 66946 Location: Where the action is
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Posted: 03/22/08 12:02 am ::: Re: Upsets |
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BobScoutingReport wrote: |
Does IL State have someone to go against the Paris twins? |
Did Ole Miss last year?
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BobScoutingReport
Joined: 05 Apr 2007 Posts: 684
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Posted: 03/23/08 12:59 am ::: Upset Watch |
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Vandy certainly avoided the fate some of you were forecasting for them.
To my total surprise, Florida State won the biggest upset prize for Saturday as a #11 beating a #6. I regularly watch FSU play in Tallahassee and could not see them winning against Ohio State as the Noles finished the season losing to Clemson and struggled in the ACC Tournament to beat Wake. This was by far FSU's best win of the season. Pre-season, I thought FSU would be top 20 but they lost Miller (6-3 C) to grades and then a few key players had to sit out for involvement with the internet cheating scandel that rocked the football team this fall. They never really got it together until this OSU upset.
Last year OSU was upset by Marist. This makes two years in a row that OSU goes out in first round.
Ole Miss was an excellent defensive team last year. They weren't like IL State. Also, Ashley Paris is better this year.
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bballfan2005
Joined: 22 Aug 2005 Posts: 25315 Location: Somewhere here and there
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Posted: 03/23/08 1:02 am ::: Re: Upset Watch |
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BobScoutingReport wrote: |
Vandy certainly avoided the fate some of you were forecasting for them. |
Vandy is a better team than most folks, in particular Lady Vols fans, are willing to admit. They're well-coached and make up for a lack of athleticism with a better overall knowledge of the game than their opponents (this includes knowing when to shoot/pass and how to play position defense).
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snowstormxu
Joined: 05 Mar 2006 Posts: 70 Location: Cincinnati
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Posted: 03/23/08 2:24 am ::: |
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I'm not surprised about Vandy. They've looked really good lately.
However, Ohio State is very overrated.
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BobScoutingReport
Joined: 05 Apr 2007 Posts: 684
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Posted: 03/23/08 11:00 am ::: Vandy |
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According to Balcomb, this is Vandy's best defensive team in her years there. After watching them live at the SEC Tournament, I agreed with what she said. They have only one senior and not much size outside her (Sherwood) but are tougher.
Agreed, Ohio State was disappointing this year.
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JACKOWACKO
Joined: 20 Sep 2006 Posts: 2884 Location: Right now? Cambridge
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