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pilight
Joined: 23 Sep 2004 Posts: 66927 Location: Where the action is
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Posted: 03/23/07 7:06 pm ::: Sweet 16 picks |
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Arizona State vs Bowling Green
Both teams have gotten here with two close wins. The Sun Devils have fallen far behind twice then come back to win, while the Falcons have taken a pair of back-and-forth contests. If AzSt gets 18 down this time, they're done. If it's tight throughout, BG might be in trouble. One thing I know for sure, you can't go too far wrong picking P10 teams to lose this time of year. I'm taking Bowling Green.
Duke vs Rutgers
The Scarlets are not the same team that got blown out of the RAC by the Debs earlier this year. Rutgers has actually won by larger margins than Duke in both rounds so far. That having been said, I don't see Duke losing in Carolina and I really don't see it being very close.
LSU vs Florida State
The Noles have nobody that can match up with Fowles. FSU's minor miracle ends here.
UConn vs NC State
Talent-wise it's no contest. Coaching-wise it's a huge mismatch. The only question is whether the emotion of Kay Yow's illness can carry the Pack another round. That worked in Raleigh, but it's not going to play 3000 miles away in Fresno. I predict a blowout.
Oklahoma vs Mississippi
Let me tell you something about Carol Ross. She's the ultimate tournament tease. Any time you think her team has got it all together, it's time for a spectacular meltdown. Lots of people seem to be liking Ole Miss here. I'm not buying, Paris will get consecutive double-double #61 and Oklahoma will move on.
Tennessee vs Marist
In 1994, #13 seed Texas A&M got a huge upset over #4 seed Florida then beat high scoring mid-major #5 seed San Diego State. They lost to #1 seed Purdue in the S16 by 26 in a game not as close as the score makes it sound.
In 2005, #13 seed Liberty got a huge upset over #4 seed Penn State then beat high scoring mid-major #5 seed DePaul. They lost to #1 seed LSU in the S16 by 42 in a game not as close as the score makes it sound.
This year, #13 Marist got a huge upset over #4 seed Ohio State then beat high scoring mid-major #5 seed Middle Tennessee State. I think everyone sees where this is going...
Purdue vs Georgia
This has the makings of an entertaining game. Tasha Humphrey is hard to stop, but the Boilers play outstanding post D. Katie Gearlds can score in bunches, but sometimes vanishes in big games. Purdue's ball handling is shaky, Georgia's offensive options outside of Humphrey are inconsistent at best. I'm gonna pick Georgia, but without much enthusiasm. They're better at PG and C, and that's usually enough.
North Carolina vs George Washington
Sorry, G-Dub, the Heels are on a mission, and it ain't a Sweet 16 mission.
_________________ I'm a lonely frog
I ain't got a home
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bullsky
Joined: 04 Jun 2005 Posts: 20310
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Posted: 03/23/07 7:19 pm ::: Re: Sweet 16 picks |
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pilight wrote: |
while the Falcons have taken a pair of back-and-forth contests. |
Didn't BGSU lead throughout against Vandy?
_________________ "Don't do something until you get it right, do it until you can't do it wrong."
- Geno Auriemma
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sparkfan33
Joined: 24 Sep 2004 Posts: 679
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Posted: 03/23/07 9:24 pm ::: Re: Sweet 16 picks |
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Arizona State vs Bowling Green:
I like Bowling Green for the same reasons. However, ASU is a much better team that their performance indicates. However, don't count out the Black Belt, January. She looked pretty good the last game.
Duke vs Rutgers:
It will be a closer game than before, but I love my DUKE in a 10+ pt win.
LSU vs Florida State:
Disagree. The Noles seemed to handle the twin towers; although LSU is much more athelitic than Stanford. This one could go either way. I love LSU, but I am picking FSU.
UConn vs NC State:
Yes, UConn has the better team, but I am going with emotion! I pick the Wolfpack in a close one.
Oklahoma vs Mississippi:
Speed kills! I am going with Ole Miss. OK just doesn't have the athletes to keep up with Ole Miss. Besides, I want to keep watching Arminty!
Tennessee vs Marist:
Tenn is going to win, but I will be rooting and yelling for Marist the entire 40 minutes.
Purdue vs Georgia:
Agree, this will be a great game. However, I am picking Purdue to come out the victor. They have looked, very, very strong, and their defense has been something special.
North Carolina vs George Washington:
The GW coach called Notre Dame to get the lowdown on the Heels. UNC will probably win, but I will be rooting for GW since I totally dislike the Heels.
Regardless of the winners and losers, I am looking forward to 16+ hours of total enjoyment. Unlike past tournments, there are some really competitive teams playing and the games should be great.
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maroondevil
Joined: 25 Apr 2006 Posts: 134
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Posted: 03/23/07 9:44 pm ::: Re: Sweet 16 picks |
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Arizona State vs Bowling Green
ASU
Duke vs Rutgers
Duke
LSU vs Florida State
LSU
UConn vs NC State
UCONN
Oklahoma vs Mississippi
Mississippi
Tennessee vs Marist
I think the great run ends here for Marist, will cheer for them but UT wins.
Purdue vs Georgia
Purdue
North Carolina vs George Washington
UNC
Don't know much about GW
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mikey87
Joined: 29 Oct 2005 Posts: 2165 Location: In My Crib..
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Posted: 03/23/07 9:57 pm ::: |
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Bowling Green... Just Because
Duke
LSU
NC STATE... They are playing tremendous right now,,,
Mississippi
Tennessee
Georgia... the ladies will step up.....
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PurdueBBall3
Joined: 21 Jun 2006 Posts: 597 Location: Where WCBB male head coaches aren't.
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Posted: 03/23/07 9:59 pm ::: Re: Sweet 16 picks |
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Arizona State vs Bowling Green = Bowling Green
Duke vs Rutgers = Duke
Florida State vs LSU = LSU
NC State vs UConn = NC State
Mississippi vs Oklahoma = Oklahoma
Marist vs Tennessee = Marist
Georgia vs Purdue = Purdue
George Washington vs North Carolina = North Carolina
_________________ "Boo-hoo. Oh, boo-hoo. Waaaah, waaaah, waaaaah." Notably Dumb's Muffie (Bitch) Yuckgraw
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cthskzfn
Joined: 21 Nov 2004 Posts: 12851 Location: In a world where a PSYCHOpath like Trump isn't potus.
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Posted: 03/23/07 10:35 pm ::: Re: Sweet 16 picks |
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pilight wrote: |
Arizona State vs Bowling Green
Both teams have gotten here with two close wins. The Sun Devils have fallen far behind twice then come back to win, while the Falcons have taken a pair of back-and-forth contests. If AzSt gets 18 down this time, they're done. If it's tight throughout, BG might be in trouble. One thing I know for sure, you can't go too far wrong picking P10 teams to lose this time of year. I'm taking Bowling Green.
Duke vs Rutgers
The Scarlets are not the same team that got blown out of the RAC by the Debs earlier this year. Rutgers has actually won by larger margins than Duke in both rounds so far. That having been said, I don't see Duke losing in Carolina and I really don't see it being very close.
LSU vs Florida State
The Noles have nobody that can match up with Fowles. FSU's minor miracle ends here.
UConn vs NC State
Talent-wise it's no contest. Coaching-wise it's a huge mismatch. The only question is whether the emotion of Kay Yow's illness can carry the Pack another round. That worked in Raleigh, but it's not going to play 3000 miles away in Fresno. I predict a blowout.
Oklahoma vs Mississippi
Let me tell you something about Carol Ross. She's the ultimate tournament tease. Any time you think her team has got it all together, it's time for a spectacular meltdown. Lots of people seem to be liking Ole Miss here. I'm not buying, Paris will get consecutive double-double #61 and Oklahoma will move on.
Tennessee vs Marist
In 1994, #13 seed Texas A&M got a huge upset over #4 seed Florida then beat high scoring mid-major #5 seed San Diego State. They lost to #1 seed Purdue in the S16 by 26 in a game not as close as the score makes it sound.
In 2005, #13 seed Liberty got a huge upset over #4 seed Penn State then beat high scoring mid-major #5 seed DePaul. They lost to #1 seed LSU in the S16 by 42 in a game not as close as the score makes it sound.
This year, #13 Marist got a huge upset over #4 seed Ohio State then beat high scoring mid-major #5 seed Middle Tennessee State. I think everyone sees where this is going...
Purdue vs Georgia
This has the makings of an entertaining game. Tasha Humphrey is hard to stop, but the Boilers play outstanding post D. Katie Gearlds can score in bunches, but sometimes vanishes in big games. Purdue's ball handling is shaky, Georgia's offensive options outside of Humphrey are inconsistent at best. I'm gonna pick Georgia, but without much enthusiasm. They're better at PG and C, and that's usually enough.
North Carolina vs George Washington
Sorry, G-Dub, the Heels are on a mission, and it ain't a Sweet 16 mission. |
agree on all counts.
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Soonerville
Joined: 07 Mar 2007 Posts: 397 Location: Norman/NW OKC
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bballjunkee212
Joined: 07 Nov 2004 Posts: 1906
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Posted: 03/23/07 10:51 pm ::: |
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Arizona State vs Bowling Green: Bowling Green. If they can beat Vandy, and they're rested, they can beat ASU too.
Duke vs Rutgers: Duke. RU doesn't have the firepower. I haven't seen RU much this season, but I have the impression they don't have the depth-- is that an accurate assessment?
Florida State vs LSU: LSU, but it's a tough call, and I suspect it'll be my last pick for LSU. I don't care how at ease the players are with their new coach, it's still a new coach, and I don't think this team has the talent to take him to a Final Four.
NC State vs UConn: UConn, but it's another tough call. UConn has the talent, but is anybody playing with as much intensity as Whittington, or as much heart as NCST as a whole? UConn will need to shut that down early, because if the game is up for grabs in the late going, I don't know who the Hussies have-- besides Mel Thomas-- who will be able to match the emotions. UConn has struck me as a mercurial team, and if they're not there for this game, they'll lose it.
Mississippi vs Oklahoma: Oklahoma. Ole Miss isn't going to catch two underachieving teams in a row. OU will make the best of what they have-- and what they have is six seniors, a go-to PG, and Courtney Double-double. Armintie Price has just five fouls to give, and the OU front line has about twenty. Advantage OU.
Marist vs Tennessee: UT. I have not seen Marist play all year, so I really don't know what I'm saying on this one. But I have seen UT play at times when I thought they would challenge for the NC. UT has the ability to take this one.
Georgia vs Purdue: Purdue. Unless it's UGA. This could be the closest game in the S16, if Gearlds is on.
George Washington vs North Carolina: UNC. Again, I haven't seen GW play, but I have seen UNC. I think ND provided the blueprint for beating UNC. Can Gee-Dub play that game?
And, can I just take a moment to say what a great tournament it has been, both on the women's and the men's side? We have seen some teams really earn some respect, even in losing: Baylor and ND come to mind, and the men's sweet 16 has been one great game after another. No matter who wins, I am really enjoying this.
_________________ ~Bill
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ILUVBIGTEN
Joined: 21 Jun 2006 Posts: 1106 Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
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RavenDog
Joined: 19 Feb 2007 Posts: 6878 Location: Home
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Posted: 03/23/07 11:06 pm ::: |
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Arizona State vs Bowling Green = ARIZONA STATE
Duke vs Rutgers = RUTGERS (If Matee doesn't get into foul trouble.)
Florida State vs LSU = LSU
NC State vs UConn = UCONN
Mississippi vs Oklahoma = OKLAHOMA (But be rooting for Ole Miss.)
Marist vs Tennessee = TENNESSEE (But rooting for Marist)
Georgia vs Purdue = GEORGIA
George Washington vs North Carolina = NORTH CAROLINA
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LadyDevilFan
Joined: 19 Mar 2006 Posts: 405
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beknighted
Joined: 11 Nov 2004 Posts: 11050 Location: Lost in D.C.
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Posted: 03/23/07 11:10 pm ::: |
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bballjunkee212 wrote: |
Duke vs Rutgers: Duke. RU doesn't have the firepower. I haven't seen RU much this season, but I have the impression they don't have the depth-- is that an accurate assessment? |
As always, I make no predictions (and if you think my tournament challenge entries are predictions, you've never really looked at them). However, I will answer questions.
1. I don't know what constitutes depth or firepower, but RU has four players who average double-digit scoring - Vaughn, Prince, Carson and Ajavon, and the fifth starter, Zurich, is capable of hitting outside shots if she's given the chance. Duke actually has only 3 players who average 10 points or more a game. RU has six players who average 20 minutes or more a game, plus one more who averages close to 14 and has been playing a lot lately. Against MSU, 7 players got substantial minutes, and an 8th player usually gets more time, but Vaughn stayed in and didn't really get spelled much because CVS wanted to take advantage of DeHaan sitting on the bench.
2. I will note that RU scored 70 and 77 points in its first two games. The last time RU scored 70 points in 2 consecutive NCAA games was 1999. This is about as efficient as RU's offense gets. If I count right, only 4 of the teams in the Sweet 16 have done that this year, and Duke isn't one of them. (Maryland did it, too, but was outscored by Mississippi.)
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mikey87
Joined: 29 Oct 2005 Posts: 2165 Location: In My Crib..
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Posted: 03/23/07 11:20 pm ::: |
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beknighted wrote: |
bballjunkee212 wrote: |
Duke vs Rutgers: Duke. RU doesn't have the firepower. I haven't seen RU much this season, but I have the impression they don't have the depth-- is that an accurate assessment? |
As always, I make no predictions (and if you think my tournament challenge entries are predictions, you've never really looked at them). However, I will answer questions.
1. I don't know what constitutes depth or firepower, but RU has four players who average double-digit scoring - Vaughn, Prince, Carson and Ajavon, and the fifth starter, Zurich, is capable of hitting outside shots if she's given the chance. Duke actually has only 3 players who average 10 points or more a game. RU has six players who average 20 minutes or more a game, plus one more who averages close to 14 and has been playing a lot lately. Against MSU, 7 players got substantial minutes, and an 8th player usually gets more time, but Vaughn stayed in and didn't really get spelled much because CVS wanted to take advantage of DeHaan sitting on the bench.
2. I will note that RU scored 70 and 77 points in its first two games. The last time RU scored 70 points in 2 consecutive NCAA games was 1999. This is about as efficient as RU's offense gets. If I count right, only 4 of the teams in the Sweet 16 have done that this year, and Duke isn't one of them. (Maryland did it, too, but was outscored by Mississippi.) |
I remember when your ladies played my DAWGS earlier this year, And they impressed me. Even without Ajavon. This game could go either way though...
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CAPPIE1
Joined: 06 Feb 2006 Posts: 127
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Posted: 03/23/07 11:22 pm ::: |
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asu - bgu: bgu
duke - rutgers: rutgers
fsu - lsu: fsu
ncs - uconn: ncs
miss - okl: miss
marist - tenn: tenn
_________________ "WHY IS LIFE SUCH A BITCH? SIMPLY BECAUSE, IF IT HAD BEEN A SLUT, IT WOULD'VE BEEN TOO EASY."
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fancy_daniel
Joined: 12 Oct 2005 Posts: 4489 Location: Los Angeles
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Posted: 03/23/07 11:28 pm ::: |
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UNC-GW --> UNC
Georgia-Purdue --> Purdue
Tenn.-Marist --> Tenn.
Oklahoma-Ole Miss --> Oklahoma
Uconn-NC State --> I want NC State but I'll pick Uconn
LSU-FSU --> FSU in the upset
Duke-Rutgers --> Duke (Bales will be the difference maker in the middle)
ASU-BGU --> ASU (I have to pick my last remaining Pac-10 team)
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hoopfan24
Joined: 09 Oct 2006 Posts: 896
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Posted: 03/24/07 12:37 am ::: |
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your digs at the pac 10 are old pilight. ASU wins, you'll be wrong about them like you were on Stanford the last 3 yrs when they went to the E8. Big deal, you got it right this yr, we weren't going far with a 3rd string pg.
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hoopfan24
Joined: 09 Oct 2006 Posts: 896
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Posted: 03/24/07 1:06 am ::: |
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Arizona State vs Bowling Green: ASU has played crappy so far, but they will finally wake up and play well. Still a tight game.
Duke vs Rutgers: Duke because of Harding and Gay as the wild card. It will be ugly to start, but Duke will settle down and play their game.
Florida State vs LSU: the ugliest game of the day, by far. No real shooters, but a lot of athletes. FSU will shoot their usual poor FG%, LSU wins in the paint.
NC State vs UConn: everyone in the US but the Hussies want NC St, but too bad it won't happen. UConn is too talented and balanced.
Mississippi vs Oklahoma: A real toss up. Miss has speed, OU has Paris, and both coaches are equally inept in big games. I'll go with OU because of Rush and other Srs., reluctanly so.
Marist vs Tennessee: UT pulls away in the 2nd half, but maybe the LVols will learn to run a half court offense by seeing Marist do it. Good prep for E8 game.
Georgia vs Purdue: I have no idea on this one, both teams are unpredictable. I'll go with GA because the combo of Humphrey and backcourt shooters trumps Geralds.
George Washington vs North Carolina. GW. Upset of the day. UNC hasn't been playing inspired ball, TOs and fouls will finally catch up with them.
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njjosh
Joined: 07 Nov 2004 Posts: 1458
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Posted: 03/24/07 10:09 am ::: |
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Bowling Green vs. Arizona State -- BG is deeper (though not much) than UC Riverside and better coached than Louisville. Arizona State can only play the comeback game so many times before it gets burned. Today, it does.
Duke vs. Rutgers -- Rutgers has improved since losing to Duke by 40. But they haven't improved that much. Duke still win fairly comfortably.
LSU vs. Florida State -- Ditto pilight's sentiments. LSU wins handily.
UConn vs. NC State -- I have a funny feeling about this one. On paper, Geno & Co. should win this going away. I think they'll still pull it off, but NC State's emotion will keep it closer than it should be.
As a brief aside, the biggest loser this weekend will be the organizers in Fresno, whose closest team is four hours away by plane. Thank you, Stanford.
Tennessee vs. Marist -- Jim Foster won't be coaching the Lady Vols today. And the Lady Vols can beat you in more ways than Middle Tennessee State can. In other words, say goodbye to Marist, and probably in very rude fashion.
Oklahoma vs. Ole Miss -- The Rebels have no answer for Courtney Paris. But the Rebels can feast on the Sooners' turnover-prone guards the same way they feasted on Maryland's. That will keep the Sooners from getting Paris the ball as much as they need to, and the Rebels squeak out a close one.
North Carolina vs. George Washington -- The Colonials are very good. But they can't last for 40 minutes at the Tar Heels' pace. Unless they do a great job at controlling the tempo and shoot the ball very well, North Carolina rolls.
Purdue vs. Georgia -- This could be the best matchup of the weekend. While I liked McCallie better than Versyp from when I saw them in the America East, I still like Versyp as a head coach. Of more significance, however, I'm going with my rule to never bet on an Andy Landers-coached team after the first weekend of the tournament. Purdue pulls it out.
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pilight
Joined: 23 Sep 2004 Posts: 66927 Location: Where the action is
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Posted: 03/24/07 10:12 am ::: |
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hoopfan24 wrote: |
we weren't going far with a 3rd string pg. |
Seems like Stanford is always on a 3rd string PG.
_________________ I'm a lonely frog
I ain't got a home
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Michael
Joined: 23 Mar 2006 Posts: 602
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Posted: 03/24/07 10:29 am ::: |
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Arizona State vs Bowling Green = Bowling Green
Duke vs Rutgers = Duke
Florida State vs LSU = LSU
NC State vs UConn = UConn
Mississippi vs Oklahoma = Ole Miss
Marist vs Tennessee = UTenn
Georgia vs Purdue = Purdue
George Washington vs North Carolina = North Carolina
_________________ Michael
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accommodatingly
Joined: 21 Nov 2004 Posts: 2191 Location: Saint Paul, MN
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Posted: 03/24/07 11:00 am ::: |
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That's the first time I can remember pilight making a bunch of intuitive/ hunch picks at once.
Bowling Green-ASU could go either way: ASU are much quicker but go on scoring droughts, and Bowling Green beat good teams when and only when their threes are falling (that's why they trailed in their first-round game). I'll pick Bowling Green, but no outcome would surprise me.
Duke-Rutgers: Rutgers are much, much better now than when they lost by a million, and they handle mental pressure better. Duke had trouble with Temple, and Duke tend to be a first-half team. I'd much rather keep watching Duke, who are fun to watch at every position, than see the high-speed, low-scoring tangle the Scarlet Knights prefer, but I think Kia Vaughn has found her game. Neither outcome would surprise me, and I'd like to be wrong, but: Rutgers, in a squeaker.
NC State-UConn: can Hunter play today? can Charles avoid foul trouble in the second half? If the answer are "yes" and "yes" then UConn wins by 15. If the answer are "no" and "no," then emotion takes it and NC State wins by one possession. If the answers are mixed, UConn wins, but it's close.
LSU-FSU: I haven't seen FSU yet this year (the only team of the eight I haven't watched), so I don't really know what I'm talking about here, but: LSU. They've beaten better teams, and Fowles hasn't gotten any shorter, or any less athletic, since Pokey resigned.
Here comes the tipoff:
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pilight
Joined: 23 Sep 2004 Posts: 66927 Location: Where the action is
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Posted: 03/24/07 11:03 am ::: |
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accommodatingly wrote: |
That's the first time I can remember pilight making a bunch of intuitive/ hunch picks at once. |
How little you know me. I always pick on hunches and intuition, then find stats to backup whatever position I feel like taking.
_________________ I'm a lonely frog
I ain't got a home
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hoopfan24
Joined: 09 Oct 2006 Posts: 896
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Posted: 03/24/07 11:12 am ::: |
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pilight wrote: |
hoopfan24 wrote: |
we weren't going far with a 3rd string pg. |
Seems like Stanford is always on a 3rd string PG. |
how many teams have lost 2 pgs as many times as us?
None.
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caune
Joined: 18 Nov 2004 Posts: 17919 Location: Valley of the Bun
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