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calbearman76
Joined: 02 Nov 2009 Posts: 5167 Location: Carson City
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Posted: 10/21/19 10:34 am ::: Bracketology |
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Charlie Crème came out with his preseason Bracketology projection today.
http://www.espn.com/womens-college-basketball/bracketology
Highlights:
#1 seeds - Oregon, Baylor, Stanford, UConn
Top Conferences - ACC and SEC with 8 teams each
The Big East only has 1 team (DePaul) while Missouri Valley gets 2 (Drake and Missouri St)
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5thmantheme
Joined: 11 Apr 2016 Posts: 540
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taropatch
Joined: 24 Feb 2009 Posts: 814 Location: Kau Rubbish Dump
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Posted: 10/21/19 5:47 pm ::: |
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5thmantheme wrote: |
Likelihood is Maryland doesn't lose.
Their 2 toughest tests are South Carolina at home.
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I haven't looked at the Terrapins' schedule but if it is weak, then the committee will punish Brenda's team like they did in 2017. Conference champions, 30-2, nationally ranked top 4 and they were shoved into UConn's bracket as a #3.
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Howee
Joined: 27 Nov 2009 Posts: 15765 Location: OREGON (in my heart)
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Shades
Joined: 10 Jul 2006 Posts: 63976
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Posted: 10/21/19 6:21 pm ::: |
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Remember how he latched on to Tennessee last season and he wouldn’t let go? Creme doesn’t really get good (as he should be) until he’s guided by the selection committee’s 16 reveal.
_________________ Nnekalonians 1:14 - Thou shalt not accept that which is not earned
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SpaceJunkie
Joined: 10 Sep 2012 Posts: 4241 Location: Minnesota
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Posted: 10/21/19 8:17 pm ::: |
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Shades wrote: |
Remember how he latched on to Tennessee last season and he wouldn’t let go? Creme doesn’t really get good (as he should be) until he’s guided by the selection committee’s 16 reveal. |
And Tennessee was an NCAA Tournament team so I'm not sure what you mean.
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Marquette Fan
Joined: 06 Mar 2005 Posts: 3582
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summertime blues
Joined: 16 Apr 2013 Posts: 7868 Location: Shenandoah Valley
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calbearman76
Joined: 02 Nov 2009 Posts: 5167 Location: Carson City
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Posted: 10/22/19 7:55 pm ::: |
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I expect that UConn will be a number 1 seed. They have a very weak schedule, not so much because of poor scheduling but because some of their traditional top opponents are down this season. A win against either Oregon or Baylor, both at home, will assure it.
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ThreeBall25
Joined: 21 Jan 2005 Posts: 2794
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myrtle
Joined: 02 May 2008 Posts: 32341
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Posted: 10/23/19 10:28 am ::: |
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calbearman76 wrote: |
I expect that UConn will be a number 1 seed. They have a very weak schedule, not so much because of poor scheduling but because some of their traditional top opponents are down this season. A win against either Oregon or Baylor, both at home, will assure it. |
but if they lose to both, what then?
_________________ For there is always light,
if only we’re brave enough to see it.
If only we’re brave enough to be it.
- Amanda Gorman
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summertime blues
Joined: 16 Apr 2013 Posts: 7868 Location: Shenandoah Valley
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Howee
Joined: 27 Nov 2009 Posts: 15765 Location: OREGON (in my heart)
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calbearman76
Joined: 02 Nov 2009 Posts: 5167 Location: Carson City
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Posted: 10/23/19 5:00 pm ::: |
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myrtle wrote: |
calbearman76 wrote: |
I expect that UConn will be a number 1 seed. They have a very weak schedule, not so much because of poor scheduling but because some of their traditional top opponents are down this season. A win against either Oregon or Baylor, both at home, will assure it. |
but if they lose to both, what then? |
If they lose both they could fall to a 2 seed, but coming up with the other #1 seeds may be tough. second place in the Pac 10 may be a chance, but if ASU, UCLA or Arizona steals some wins from the top 3, getting 2 #1s may be difficult. If a team can get through the ACC or SEC with only 2 losses they will deserve it.
UConn does not have an empty cupboard and with their schedule it is hard to imagine they would have even 4 losses. Even if they aren't top 5 in the RPI that is too good to not give them the benefit of the doubt.
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Hoopsmom
Joined: 05 Apr 2017 Posts: 680
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Posted: 10/23/19 5:11 pm ::: |
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I welcome any preseason coverage of women’s sports, especially women’s basketball. We get news and internet coverage and discussion of men’s basketball even in June and July, when we have cable channels showing seven-year-old college “classic” games rather than live WNBA games. We need more hype on the women’s side of things.
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pilight
Joined: 23 Sep 2004 Posts: 67163 Location: Where the action is
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Posted: 10/23/19 5:19 pm ::: |
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calbearman76 wrote: |
myrtle wrote: |
calbearman76 wrote: |
I expect that UConn will be a number 1 seed. They have a very weak schedule, not so much because of poor scheduling but because some of their traditional top opponents are down this season. A win against either Oregon or Baylor, both at home, will assure it. |
but if they lose to both, what then? |
If they lose both they could fall to a 2 seed, but coming up with the other #1 seeds may be tough. second place in the Pac 10 may be a chance, but if ASU, UCLA or Arizona steals some wins from the top 3, getting 2 #1s may be difficult. If a team can get through the ACC or SEC with only 2 losses they will deserve it.
UConn does not have an empty cupboard and with their schedule it is hard to imagine they would have even 4 losses. Even if they aren't top 5 in the RPI that is too good to not give them the benefit of the doubt. |
Last year they had only two losses and got a #2 seed because of a weak schedule.
_________________ The truth is like poetry
Most people hate poetry
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linkster
Joined: 27 Jul 2012 Posts: 5428
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Posted: 10/23/19 6:23 pm ::: |
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pilight wrote: |
calbearman76 wrote: |
myrtle wrote: |
calbearman76 wrote: |
I expect that UConn will be a number 1 seed. They have a very weak schedule, not so much because of poor scheduling but because some of their traditional top opponents are down this season. A win against either Oregon or Baylor, both at home, will assure it. |
but if they lose to both, what then? |
If they lose both they could fall to a 2 seed, but coming up with the other #1 seeds may be tough. second place in the Pac 10 may be a chance, but if ASU, UCLA or Arizona steals some wins from the top 3, getting 2 #1s may be difficult. If a team can get through the ACC or SEC with only 2 losses they will deserve it.
UConn does not have an empty cupboard and with their schedule it is hard to imagine they would have even 4 losses. Even if they aren't top 5 in the RPI that is too good to not give them the benefit of the doubt. |
Last year they had only two losses and got a #2 seed because of a weak schedule. |
No, they got a 2 seed because of those 2 losses. If they had beaten either Baylor or Louisville (on the road) they would have had a 1.
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calbearman76
Joined: 02 Nov 2009 Posts: 5167 Location: Carson City
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Posted: 10/23/19 6:32 pm ::: |
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pilight wrote: |
calbearman76 wrote: |
myrtle wrote: |
calbearman76 wrote: |
I expect that UConn will be a number 1 seed. They have a very weak schedule, not so much because of poor scheduling but because some of their traditional top opponents are down this season. A win against either Oregon or Baylor, both at home, will assure it. |
but if they lose to both, what then? |
If they lose both they could fall to a 2 seed, but coming up with the other #1 seeds may be tough. second place in the Pac 10 may be a chance, but if ASU, UCLA or Arizona steals some wins from the top 3, getting 2 #1s may be difficult. If a team can get through the ACC or SEC with only 2 losses they will deserve it.
UConn does not have an empty cupboard and with their schedule it is hard to imagine they would have even 4 losses. Even if they aren't top 5 in the RPI that is too good to not give them the benefit of the doubt. |
Last year they had only two losses and got a #2 seed because of a weak schedule. |
Your point is well taken. But it is also true that there were 6 teams reasonably worthy of #1 seeds. The 2 teams that were moved to the 2 line were both essentially home teams for the regionals, Oregon in Portland and UConn in Albany.
Obviously UConn has to play up to what has become expected of them. Two losses in their big 2 games would probably drop them to a 2 seed unless some of their other games look better at the end of the year. They also don't have a natural home advantage in the regionals (the closest regionals are Greenville and Fort Wayne.) 1 win and no more than 2 other losses would probably still leave them at #1, but obviously that would depend on how much any other teams are able to separate themselves from the pack. And I find it hard to believe there will be more than 7 other teams that will have a better resume.
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cthskzfn
Joined: 21 Nov 2004 Posts: 12851 Location: In a world where a PSYCHOpath like Trump isn't potus.
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Posted: 10/23/19 7:26 pm ::: |
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Last year, the NC was Notre Dame's to lose, and they did.
This year, it's Oregon's.
_________________ Silly, stupid white people might be waking up.
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Shades
Joined: 10 Jul 2006 Posts: 63976
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Phil
Joined: 22 Oct 2011 Posts: 1277
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Posted: 12/23/19 12:49 pm ::: |
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I see Princeton at number eight, I have them at number six arguably five although that may be pushing it.
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Phil
Joined: 22 Oct 2011 Posts: 1277
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Posted: 12/23/19 12:51 pm ::: |
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Tennessee as an eight seed? They haven't beaten a single team that's going to make the tournament.
And why is Texas on the list much less at a nine seed? I'm a Texas fan, and enjoyed the great upset over Stanford, but while that move them up 15 spots in the Massey rankings, but still left them at 54. NIT territory.
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Phil
Joined: 22 Oct 2011 Posts: 1277
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Posted: 12/23/19 1:08 pm ::: |
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I see Charlie has UCLA as a 3 seed and Florida State as a two. I would probably swap those two.
Both are undefeated.
UCLA's played a tougher schedule (Massey ranked number 31 versus 57)
UCLA's best win is over Indiana, arguably better than Florida State's best win over Texas A&M.
In Florida State's favor — their win over Texas A&M was more resounding than UCLA's win (which, by the way, was a fairly ugly game, at least early. I couldn't bear to keep watching.)
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pilight
Joined: 23 Sep 2004 Posts: 67163 Location: Where the action is
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Posted: 12/23/19 1:08 pm ::: |
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Phil wrote: |
Tennessee as an eight seed? They haven't beaten a single team that's going to make the tournament. |
UConn has only beaten one and they're a #1 seed
_________________ The truth is like poetry
Most people hate poetry
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Marquette Fan
Joined: 06 Mar 2005 Posts: 3582
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Posted: 12/23/19 1:53 pm ::: |
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It's early I know but I still never thought before the season that there would be any chance of Marquette making the NCAA Tournament. They may still end up a WNIT team but it's nice to see them listed in the field for now...
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