beknighted
Joined: 11 Nov 2004
Posts: 11050
Location: Lost in D.C.
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 Posted: 04/08/15 7:22 pm ::: This Week's Fun with RPI - RPI v. seeding |
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Constituting my annual look at whether you would have been better off predicting the tournament based on the seeding or based on RPI.
And . . . .
It's a wash - both RPI and seeding got 10 out of 63 games wrong.
Seven of those games were upsets both in terms of RPI and seeding: Dayton's wins over Kentucky and Louisville, Gonzaga's wins over GWU and Oregon State, Pitt's win over Chattanooga, Miami's win over Washington and Arkansas's win over Northwestern.
Three of the games were predicted correctly by RPI but incorrectly by the seeding: Arkansas Little Rock over TAMU, DePaul over Minnesota and Texas over California.
Three of the games were predicted right by the seeding but incorrectly by RPI: Rutgers over Seton Hall, Maryland over Tennessee and Connecticut over Notre Dame.
If you wanted to compare the games they got wrong, you'd say that RPI did a better job predicting the biggest upset (UALR over TAMU), but that the seeding did a better job in the bigger games.
This is the last Fun with RPI for the 2014-2015 season. It shall return in November.
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